Why Bitcoin and Binance Coin Are Poised to Surge on December 10, 2025 – The Fed Rate-Cut Trigger Everyone Is Watching
Published: December 6, 2025
The entire cryptocurrency market is holding its breath for one single date: December 10, 2025. On this day, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will conclude its final meeting of the year and, according to current market pricing, deliver a widely anticipated 25-basis-point interest rate cut. History, on-chain data, and macro sentiment all point in the same direction – Bitcoin (BTC) and Binance Coin (BNB) are primed for a massive upward move the moment Jerome Powell steps to the podium.
The Macro Setup Is Perfect for Crypto
After two consecutive rate cuts in September and November 2025, the U.S. central bank is now in full easing mode. Inflation has cooled to 2.1%, the labor market is softening (latest NFP missed estimates by 40k+ jobs), and global growth concerns are mounting. All of these factors scream “cut rates” to the doves on the committee.
Lower interest rates reduce the appeal of yield-bearing assets like bonds and savings accounts. Capital that was previously “locked” in 4-5% Treasury notes suddenly becomes free to chase higher returns – and few assets offer the asymmetric upside of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market during risk-on periods.
We saw this movie before:
- September 18, 2024 (first cut of the cycle) → Bitcoin +9% in 48 hours
- November 7, 2024 (second cut) → Bitcoin +12% in 24 hours
Third time’s the charm. December 10 could easily deliver a 10–20% move across the board.
Bitcoin: The King Is Ready to Reclaim $100K+
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading just below $89,000 after consolidating for several weeks. The chart is textbook bullish:
- Weekly RSI resetting below 70 (healthy)
- Higher lows since the November dip
- Spot ETF inflows averaging $1.2 billion per week
- Hash rate and difficulty at all-time highs
When the Fed cuts, the U.S. dollar typically weakens, and capital flows into hard assets. Bitcoin, with its fixed 21 million supply and growing nation-state adoption (El Salvador, Bhutan, and rumored U.S. strategic reserve talks), is the ultimate hard money beneficiary.
Analysts from Standard Chartered, Bitwise, and Bernstein have already raised their 2025 targets to $150,000–$200,000 assuming continued easing. The December 10 cut could be the exact catalyst that finally pushes BTC past the psychological $100,000 mark before year-end.
Binance Coin (BNB): The High-Beta Rocket Fuel
While Bitcoin grabs headlines, Binance Coin often delivers even bigger percentage gains during Fed-driven rallies. Here’s why BNB is set to outperform on December 10:
- Direct correlation with trading volume – Lower rates → more speculative money → higher exchange volumes → more fee discounts and token burns for BNB holders.
- Quarterly auto-burn coming in late December – The next BNB burn will be calculated on record-high revenue thanks to the post-cut trading frenzy.
- BNB Chain ecosystem explosion – TVL already back above $5.5 billion and rising fast as DeFi yields become attractive again in a low-rate world.
- Historical beta of 1.5–2.0x to Bitcoin – When BTC rises 10%, BNB has consistently risen 15–25% on the same day.
Current price sits around $648. A 20–30% move on December 10 alone would take BNB straight to $780–$850, with many analysts eyeing $1,000 before Q1 2026 ends.
What Happens on the Actual Day – Timeline
- 2:00 PM ET (December 10) – FOMC statement released
- 2:30 PM ET – Jerome Powell press conference begins
- Within minutes of a confirmed cut – Spot buying on Coinbase, Binance, Kraken spikes
- Liquidity cascade – Perpetual futures funding rates flip positive, shorts get liquidated, price surges
We have seen this exact sequence twice already this cycle. There is no reason to expect anything different this time – in fact, positioning data shows the market is even more convinced of the cut than in previous meetings.
Risks? Yes, But They’re Priced In
Of course, nothing is 100% guaranteed. A surprise “pause” or hawkish dot-plot could trigger a sharp but short-lived sell-off. However, the market has already priced in an 87% chance of a cut. The risk/reward is heavily skewed to the upside. Even if the Fed disappoints, the downside is likely limited to 5–8%, while the upside on a confirmed cut could easily exceed 20% in under 24 hours.
Final Verdict
December 10, 2025, has all the ingredients of a historic day for cryptocurrency investors. The Federal Reserve is almost certain to deliver another rate cut, liquidity will flood into risk assets, and Bitcoin and Binance Coin – two of the most liquid and fundamentally strong projects – stand front and center to capture that flow.
If you’ve been waiting for the perfect entry before the next leg up, the afternoon of December 10 may be your moment.
Mark the date. Stack accordingly.
Bitcoin target post-cut: $95,000 – $102,000 within 72 hours
Binance Coin target post-cut: $780 – $850 within 48 hours